Saturday, March 21, 2009

Abstinence-only Education Doesn't Work, Part II

This is a continuation of my previous post on this topic wherein I argued that abstinence-only education can't work to prevent out-of-wedlock births in our libertine culture.

The first thing detractors have to do is look at the scoreboard. Here's one part of it.
Since 1960, illegitimate births have increased more than 400 percent. In 1960, 5 percent of all births were out of wedlock. Thirty years later nearly 30 percent of all births were illegitimate.
You can claim that pregnant girls were hidden away until they had kids or that there were shotgun marriages or that people got married earlier, but you can't hope to use those tools to explain away a 4-fold increase in illegitimacy. The scoreboard doesn't lie.

Second, there are about 1,250,000 abortions per year in the US these days. The four-fold increase above does not take these into account. That means the scoreboard is much more lopsided than it looks, unless you want to make the hopeless claim that abortions were just as common back in the 1950s. Adding the abortions to the live births, it means that there are almost 8 times as many illegitimate pregnancies today as there were in 1960.

You cannot bridge that number no matter what wild assumptions you make about some kind of bizarre Underground Railroad of pregnant girls or waves of back alley abortions. Give it up. The scoreboard is more lopsided than a Detroit Lions - Indianapolis Colts game.

The inescapable conclusion is that parentally-controlled, abstinence-only education in, say, the 1950s worked far better than anything we're doing today. It's not even close. So why is that? I'd like to offer an experiment that might convince you the underlying culture is the dominant feature.

The Experiment

Immerse yourself in the culture of the 1950s for a full day. Listen to the music, watch the movies, read books about the era, whatever you'd like. Then immerse yourself in the popular youth culture of 2009 for a day. Listen to urban hip hop, watch MTV, surf MySpace and so on.

Compare the images, the ads, the themes, the underlying morality of the two eras. My bet is that in two days, you will be able to explain the difference in the statistics and do so with a deeper understanding of what they mean.

To get you in the mood, allow me to recommend some Doris Day. She was a popular actress and singer from the 1950s. On a tribute website, I counted at least 5 #1 hits and about the same number of #2 singles. Here's one of my favorites that I heard while listening to our local jazz station's Rug Cutter's Swing program a few weekends ago.

This was not one of her big hits, but I like the song and I wanted an excuse to post it on the blog. So there. Another great place to start would be to buy the Dean Martin CD, Amore. The music is fantastic and even if the experiment doesn't work, it's always a good thing to have some Dean Martin CDs in your possession.

As for books, try reading Lynne Cheney's Blue Skies, No Fences. For those lefties out there, I'm pretty sure this was the blueprint for Dick Cheney's attempts to destroy the Constitution and install a Cheney-based dictatorship. You'll need to read the whole thing to find out.

When it comes to movies, watch a Western or two or maybe some war movies. The Caine Mutiny is fantastic.

If anyone actually tries this, I'd love to hear what you find out. The scoreboard doesn't lie. Social pathologies correlate strongly to broken families and we have more now than we did then. We're far more libertine than they were. My original post claimed that libertines need to own those pathologies. If the 1950s were too repressed and you think we've got a much healthier attitude about such things, that's OK. You just need to accept that this morality has given us mammoth prison populations, more drug abuse, more child abuse and so on.

As always, comments are welcome.

7 comments:

Dean said...

National Review recently did a "Top 25 Conservative Movies" and I was stunned to find "Casablanca" was not on the list (but "Heartbreak Ridge" and "Ghost Busters" were???).

The ultimate cynic, "Rick", sets aside his unrequited love for Ilsa for the noble cause of freedom and his respect for Ilsa and Victor's marriage.

That movie wouldn't have a prayer of being made today.

Anonymous said...

Theory A CEO of CBS speaking to family group: "What is seen in the media has absolutely no effect on sexual behavior or violence."

Theory B CEO of CBS speaking to potential advertisers: "What is seen in the media has such a powerful effect on behavior that a Super Bowl spot is worth $1,000,000."

One of these theories is wrong.

pedict (PED ict, N) a small decorative glass vial used for the storage, preservation, and display of toenail parings

Anonymous said...

Not arguing with your observations, I'd just like to add one thing:

You are describing the "carrot" side of 1950s culture, encouraging kids to wait until after marriage for sex by holding it up as the ideal. That's the part that everybody remembers, because that's what you can still see in the old movies and books and TV shows.

But, it doesn't work without the "stick" side" - I understand if a girl got pregnant in high school, it was either (a) get somebody to marry her quick, if not the father, then anybody handy; otherwise (b) she was an object lesson, shunned by society as a failed woman, and her life was essentially over, disowned by family and reduced to abject poverty. Choices amounting to either living in abject poverty, with no potential to get married, and probably support herself as a prostitute; or giving up the child for adoption, and flee to some other town to take her chances on starting again with nothing.

Similar, but less extreme, consequences for whoever guy got her pregnant, except he had three choices: (1) marry her; (2) leave town quickly under cover of darkness; or (3) get savagely beaten and/or shot by her male relatives, and then goto choices (1) or (2) if he survived.

Without those very, very potent "sticks" to demonstrate that anybody who fooled around outside of marriage was risking certain doom, I don't think there is much chance of convincing the majority of kids to abstain from sex, no matter how much you talk up how much better it is to wait.

Anonymous said...

Tim, you seem like a nice enough, reasonably intelligent guy, but I lived in the 50's and graduated HS in the mid-60's. That story you tell: it's a load of hogswallop.

I'm surprised you'd bother to repeat such a bizarre fantasy.

K T Cat said...

I grew up in the 60s and 70s, so I don't know any of this first-hand, but I would bet that a lot of what we who didn't live back then "know" about the 50s is more myth than fact.

Thanks for the correction, Secular. Tim, I was about to agree with you because I didn't have any first-hand knowledge about the era, either.

I really do recommend Lynne Cheney's book. It's marvellous.

Anonymous said...

I will concede that what I wrote above is over-the-top (it's easy to get carried away in these little comment boxes, and of course once you hit "submit" it's a little late to go back later and tone it down). But, I think my basic point still stands: the consequences used to be worse than they are now.

I'm basing this on what I actually saw at my (very rural) high school back in the late 70s. The pregancy rate in my class would probably be considered pretty low these days (out of 50 girls, there were two who abruptly disappeared from classes. I wasn't very well tied into the gossip network, but I heard a bit of shocked wispering about how they "had to drop out to get married). We had one girl who had actually been a year ahead of us at a neighboring school, who came to our school to re-do her senior year. She had become pregnant, kept the child, and was unmarried. The other kids made her life absolute hell. At the same time, while the younger teachers were officially supportive, the older teachers were not-so-subtly holding her up as a Very Bad Example. The girls were terrified of ending up like her, and the boys were veeery cautious as well.

Since this was a good 20 years *after* the 50s, I figured that those attitudes were probably pretty widespread throughout the country at the time, and not just holding on in the rural areas. Maybe I'm wrong, but I don't think it was all sweetness and light in the 50s, either.

Kelly the little black dog said...

KT,
regardless of what it really was like in the 50's, (and from stories I was told by my relatives who were adults then, it sounds more like what Tim said), the genie is already out of the bottle. In a global networked world, it would be impossible to go back to only having the media of that era. Countries like China and Iran have tried, and failed.