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Thursday, May 30, 2019

The Transgender Fad Can't Last

... because you can't sustain the lies. In fact, each lie begets* more lies until the house of cards is so unstable that it collapses.

This occurred to me when I read this news article.
A transgender woman who competed as a man as recently as last year won an NCAA women’s track national championship on Saturday.

Franklin Pierce University senior Cece Telfer beat the eight-woman field in the Division II women’s 400-meter hurdles by more than a second, with a personal collegiate-best time of 57.53.
As soon as I saw it, something released in my mind and I realized that all of this nonsense will have to come to an end because of the endless stream of contradictions in reality. Cece isn't Cece, he's Craig and Craig is a dude, not a chick. End of story.

Stathole Sports did an awesome job analyzing the statistical odds of Craig whupping up on the ladies if, as the transphilic NCAA maintains,
“According to medical experts on this issue, the assumption that a transgender woman competing on a women’s team would have a competitive advantage outside the range of performance and competitive advantage or disadvantage that already exists among female athletes is not supported by evidence.”
Here's the payoff graph.

A histogram of finishing times for women in the 55-meter dash in Connecticut. The two purple lines are a pair of guys' finishing times.
The two purple bars are the dudes who claimed to be chicks and ran against real women. If those are women, they're from the heavy gravity planet Zongo.

Stathole went on the calculate the odds of trannies crushing the women, assuming men and women are athletically similar, like this.
The math works out here for the probability of both conditions occurring (top 2 and top 9 in same race) to be 3,039:1. This is, I guess, better news for 2019. After improving the first blush odds of 1 in 1.8 million, a fairer analysis significantly improves their odds of being accurate to a level that is slightly better than getting dealt a straight flush in one hand of Texas Holdem poker (3,589:1).
OK, we're done. The Elites can scream "BIGOTRY!" at us morning, noon and night, and it just makes them look even dumber, if that's possible. If you take a look at the comment sections in posts or tweets where a man has obliterated women in a women's sport, you see it running 99-1 against the Elites' worldview that people can simply declare their sex.

That's an unstable situation. Eventually, even the Ivy League / Berkeley crowd is going to have to submit to reality and this will all go away.

Well, except for the poor people who followed their advice and mutilated their bodies and poisoned themselves with hormones, thinking they could really change their sex. Those people are screwed. Fortunately, they were screwed in the name of progress, compassion and acceptance.

Yay.

* - This is the only thing the transgender movement begets. Lies.

1 comment:

  1. 2+2=4.

    The whole point is to get people to say untruths they know are false.

    My response:
    THERE ARE FOUR LIGHTS.

    ReplyDelete