I'm writing this on my Droid while on a short vacation in Paso Robles, so please forgive the short content and terse style.
After Gadaffi's forces captured the last town, a large number of refugees were reported streaming towards Benghazi. A cease fire is as good as a siege. Just what will it be like in Benghazi two weeks from now with lots of refugees and rebels, all cut off from their normal supply lines in Western Libya? A no fly zone helps this in what way?
What will the local grocery store look like on, say, Tuesday of next week?
Benghazi is a major port, I expect that their supplies come in almost entirely by sea. So it kind of depends on whether there is an effective naval blockade.
ReplyDeleteLibya doesn't have much of a navy, and part of it was based in Benghazi, so the rebels probably have some ships of their own. The rebels are likely to be able to break a naval blockade, especially if they get any outside help.
Who is going to pay for it? Beyond that, who is keeping order now that Gaddafi's minions are no longer in charge? The no-fly zone will act to keep everything in statsis and everything as it is right now wouldn't seem to favor the refugee-swollen, disorganized, heavily armed city of Benghazi.
ReplyDeleteAir strikes to take out the Libyan Air Force and armored units would have been a much better idea. Dragging this thing out is not going to be good for anyone.
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